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Philadelphia five straight wins, outright and ATS, four by 7 points or fewer Jacksonville 4-0 SU and ATS surge at home, all vs. Green Bay 4-0 SU and ATS surge in divisional games Hosts that score that much are on a 30-2 SU and 29-2-1 ATS (93.5%) run in that span. For home teams, the benchmark for that level of success is a bit higher, 30 points. Reaching the 26-point mark is a key benchmark for road teams, as teams that do are 31-5 SU and 30-4-2 ATS (88.2%) in such contests since 2012. Regarding totals, games with totals of 41.5 or less, such as last week’s game, are on a 14-7-1 under (66.7%) run.Īll but four of the L18 “TNF” games with a total of 50 or greater went under at 14-4 (77.8%). Road teams coming off poor offensive performances in which they scored 16 points or fewer are on a 2-12 SU and 2-10-2 ATS (16.7%) slide. They’ve also gone under the total in 14 of their L20 games. Home teams coming off games in which they scored fewer than 17 points bounce back well, going 14-8 SU and 16-5-1 ATS (76.2%) in their The same can be said for road “TNF” teams coming off a win, as those teams are on a brutal 3-14 SU and 3-13-1 ATS (18.8%) slide. Strangely, Thursday home teams coming off a loss in their most recent games are on a 16-8 SU and 16-7-1 ATS (69.6%) surge, as the change in routine seems to change the teams’ fortunes as well. Intraconference (non-divisional) games have gone the way of hosts recently, 10-2 SU and 7-3-2 ATS (70%) in the L12. Before that, divisional hosts were on an amazing 17-2-1 ATS run. Home favorites of 7 points or more are on aĢ1-2 SU and 16-5-2 ATS (76.2%) run since the start of the 2014 season.Ī long-running trend of Thursday night home-field advantage being crucial in divisional games has turned lately, with these hosts going just 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS (16.7%) in the last six games. Home dogs of 3 or fewer points are on a nice 10-4-1 ATS (71.4%) run, while those of 3.5 points or more are on a 3-13 SU and 4-11-1 ATS slide. There is a sharp break in the performance of home underdogs at the 3-point line mark. Home-field advantage has really picked up in the second half of the season in recent years, with Weeks 8-16 home teams going 20-6 SU and 18-6-2 ATS (75%) since midway through the 2016 season. Road teams are on a roll of late, 5-4 SU and 7-2 ATS (77.8%) in the L9, including Here are some more specific Thursday night NFL angles you might want to consider in future wagering: Two Monday night games have been played on neutral fields in that span. On “MNF,” home teams have enjoyed the least advantage, going 71-57 SU and 58-66-4 ATS (47.5%). However, the first seven games of 2019 had gone under the total before the Green Bay-Kansas City game went over. Overs have held the edge on totals in those games 67-58-1. In that same span, “SNF” home teams own records of 78-47-1 SU and 66-53-7 ATS The Sunday night games included only those played at night, not all of the games covered by the NBC “SNF” crew, which also included some Wednesday and Saturday contests.īefore looking into each of the various nights’ details, here are some basic trends you’ll want to understand:
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Only Thursday night games were included in the “TNF” study, not the day games played on Thanksgiving. The data studied covered games from the start of the 2012 season through Week 8 of the 2019 campaign.
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All of those sample sizes are enough to draw conclusions to take advantage of the rest of the season. The data sample I have thus contains 116 “TNF” games, 126 “SNF” games and 128 “MNF” games. I choseĢ012 because that was the first season in which “Thursday Night Football” became a season-long schedule filler. To conduct this study, I put together a log of all the Thursday, Sunday and Monday night games since the start of the 2012 season. I have always stood by the belief that if you are going to wager a game, it should be an educated wager, so knowing as much as you can about each team and understanding tendencies in these high-profile games is important. Most bettors, sharp or otherwise, choose to partake in these games, if for no other reason than they are going to watch them. Every week the NFL offers at least three prime-time national television contests, meaning singular contests that are naturally highly wagered games. Last year at about this point in the NFL season, I unveiled a bunch of trends, systems and other performance data for the high-profile Thursday night, Sunday night and Monday night games.